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Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?

Outcome: No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

92%-1 pt in 24 hoursPolymarket’s price is 92¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 92% chance.

Price read 10 Nov 2026, 13:27 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

4 wallets we follow hold this market ›

75% of them hold the same side.

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
93¢
Best bid
91¢
Spread
2¢
Volume, 24h
$11,338
Liquidity
$60,071
Closes
1 Feb 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 93¢, and sells for the bid, 91¢. The 2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

84%91%97%4 Nov5 Nov6 Nov7 Nov8 Nov9 Nov10 Nov92%84%91%97%4 Nov6 Nov8 Nov10 Nov92%
Polymarket price over the last 7 days, from 88% to 92%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 92¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 92%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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