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Will the National Party win 40‑44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

99%Polymarket’s price is 99¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 99% chance.

Price read 7 Nov 2026, 13:50 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 16 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1601 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Other outcomes in this event

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
100¢
Best bid
98¢
Spread
1.5¢
Volume, 24h
$10,273
Liquidity
$15,489
Closes
8 Nov 2026

A YES share costs the ask, 100¢, and sells for the bid, 98¢. The 1.5¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

23%62%100%3 Nov4 Nov5 Nov6 Nov7 Nov99%23%62%100%3 Nov5 Nov7 Nov99%
Polymarket price over the last 5 days, from 34% to 99%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 99¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 99%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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