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Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?

54%Polymarket’s price is 54¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 54% chance.

Price read 28 Oct 2026, 04:52 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

No wallet we follow holds this market.

Observed 8 minutes ago · rebuilt every 15 minutes · 1602 wallets tracked

Markets several wallets we follow hold

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
55¢
Best bid
53¢
Spread
2¢
Volume, 24h
$3,117
Liquidity
$29,062
Closes
1 Jan 2028

A YES share costs the ask, 55¢, and sells for the bid, 53¢. The 2¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

29%43%58%24 Oct25 Oct26 Oct27 Oct28 Oct54%29%43%58%24 Oct26 Oct28 Oct54%
Polymarket price over the last 5 days, from 33% to 54%. Hourly, the last reading of each hour.

A price of 54¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 54%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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