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Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

27%Polymarket’s price is 27¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 27% chance.

Price read 23 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

2 wallets we follow hold this market ›

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
28¢
Best bid
25¢
Spread
2.8¢
Volume, 24h
$12,343
Liquidity
$42,117
Closes
1 Jan 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 28¢, and sells for the bid, 25¢. The 2.8¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

23%30%36%10:0011:0012:0027%23%30%36%10:0012:0027%
Polymarket price over the last 3 hours, from 32% to 27%. Each time it moved.

A price of 27¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 27%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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