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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Outcome: 25 bps increase

30%Polymarket’s price is 30¢ for a share that pays $1 if this happens: the market gives it a 30% chance.

Price read 23 Oct 2026, 13:15 UTC. Prices move; Polymarket shows the live one.

3 wallets we follow hold this market ›

66.7% of them hold the same side.

Sides, amounts and records are on the Positions page.

Kahyna is an analytics site. Trading happens on Polymarket.

Best ask
30¢
Best bid
29¢
Spread
1¢
Volume, 24h
$43,950
Liquidity
$154,097
Closes
28 Jan 2027

A YES share costs the ask, 30¢, and sells for the bid, 29¢. The 1¢ between them is what a round trip costs before any fee. What a trade really costs

Recent prices

25%30%34%10:0011:0012:0030%25%30%34%10:0012:0030%
Polymarket price over the last 3 hours, from 30% to 30%. Each time it moved.

A price of 30¢ means the market, all traders together, puts the chance at 30%. How to read Polymarket odds

Prices are Polymarket's, from its public market data, read by Kahyna. Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. The venue's own prices, shown as they were read. Not advice, and not a recommendation to trade.

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