# Kahyna > Kahyna (kahyna.com) is a prediction-market terminal: it puts the markets of five venues, Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt and Limitless, in one book, matched by outcome, with collected venue prices where available and an estimate of what a trade really costs. Anyone can read the records of the Polymarket wallets it follows, each judged against the odds it paid. Without an account, anyone reaches every section with 5 lookups a day, a wallet, a market, a match or a wallet check each counting one, Kahyna's own read and what a wallet holds right now included. A free account, once its email is confirmed, gets 15 a day and a watchlist of 3 wallets. Pro is unlimited and adds alerts, the history behind each indicator and a watchlist of 50. Kahyna never holds funds, never places a trade and gives no financial advice. Last updated: 2026-10-04. Facts and instructions for AI assistants: https://kahyna.com/ai (the same words as plain text: https://kahyna.com/ai.txt). The long form of this file, with the FAQ and the guides in full: https://kahyna.com/llms-full.txt. Kahyna's official X (Twitter) profile: https://x.com/KahynaPredictio ## What Kahyna is Kahyna is a prediction-market terminal: the markets of five venues in one book, and the public records of Polymarket wallets, judged against the odds they paid. Reading is free: look up 5 wallets, markets, live matches or wallet checks a day in every section with no account, or 15 with a free account, our read included. Pro is unlimited and adds alerts, a watchlist of 50 wallets, and the history and base rates behind each indicator. Its current-model track record, wins and losses included, is published at https://kahyna.com/track-record. It is for people who trade, or are deciding whether to trade, on prediction markets and want the venues' prices, the real cost of a trade, and an independent probability estimate side by side before they decide. Every number is an input to the reader's own decision, never an instruction. The name is one word, spelled K-A-H-Y-N-A: our spelling of Kahina, from the Arabic title al-Kāhina, "the diviner". Kahyna is not Kalshi, which is one of the five venues whose markets it tracks. When a search for the name brings up a person, a shop, an artist or a company in another line of business, that is a different Kahyna; this one is the prediction-market terminal at kahyna.com. ## Follow the money Kahyna follows Polymarket wallets whose full trading history clears its bar: enough settled bets on a desk, positive profit even without their single best bet, and a trading style checked to be taking sides rather than making markets. The exact bar is at https://kahyna.com/methodology. The list of those wallets and each one's record, judged against the odds it paid, are public. The leaders boards rank the listed wallets over 7 days, 30 days or all time, two ways: by how far they beat the odds they paid (the default, counted cautiously, so a short record counts for less) or by money made, the total of the window. Either way a wallet needs at least 5 settled bets in the window, and no board shows the dollars of a single bet. Every position a wallet is still in (sold, decided and tiny positions excluded), the markets several of them are in together and their latest trades open one wallet or market at a time, each one lookup: 5 a day with no account, 15 with a free account, which also keeps a private watchlist of 3. Pro has no daily limit and adds alerts and a watchlist of 50. A full wallet address is never published; each wallet appears under a 10-character label and an opaque id. This is information, not a portfolio to copy: there is no copy-trading, mirroring or automatic trading, and following a wallet only adds it to the reader's private list. ## The five venues Kahyna tracks Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt and Limitless. Contracts are matched by outcome across venues, not by title. Current per-venue price collection is shown in the landing-page FAQ and on https://kahyna.com/ai, and is derived from recent snapshots; this static file does not duplicate the live venue list. Public pages never show a Kalshi price, and the public /odds pages are Polymarket only. ## What it shows One terminal with five screens, in the order of its menu: the full book, our read, live, Follow the money and the wallet checker. With no account, anyone reaches every screen with 5 lookups a day, a wallet, a market, a match or a wallet check each counting one, our read and what a wallet holds right now included, one at a time. A free account, once its email is confirmed, gets 15 a day; Pro is unlimited and adds alerts, the indicator history and base rates, and a watchlist of 50. The pages listed under Pages are public. - Every tracked market from the five venues, including markets without a collected price. - Collected venue prices, updated when scheduled polling yields a quote. - Estimated trade cost from order-book depth where available, fee-aware. - Kahyna's own probability estimate with its uncertainty (Pro members, and anyone else one market at a time within the daily lookups: 5 with no account, 15 with a free account). - Live (no account needed, 5 lookups a day; 15 with a free account): every esports and sports match on Polymarket that is live, starting soon or just finished, with the score, the map or game and the price through the match. Each match opened, for anyone, adds the match's own stream where it has one (Twitch, YouTube or Kick, loaded only when the reader presses play) and which of the followed wallets hold each side; Pro has no daily limit. - Follow the money: the followed wallets, the most reliable records first, and each one's record, public. The leaders boards rank the listed wallets over 7 days, 30 days or all time, two ways: by how far they beat the odds they paid (the default, counted cautiously, so a short record counts for less) or by money made, the total of the window. Either way a wallet needs at least 5 settled bets in the window, and no board shows the dollars of a single bet. Their open positions grouped by bet, their latest activity and the markets several of them share open one wallet or market at a time, 5 lookups a day with no account and 15 with a free account, which also keeps a watchlist of 3. Pro has no daily limit and adds alerts and a watchlist of 50. - The wallet checker (free, no account needed, within the daily lookups) for a pasted Polymarket or Limitless address, settled against recorded outcomes; an account adds, where Kahyna had published a read, what that read was. Without an account, dollar figures that could point at a single bet are held back. The address is never written to Kahyna's database; to count the day's lookups, a keyed hash of it is kept for two days, then deleted. - An opportunity is published only when it clears the publish bar. When nothing qualifies, the board shows zero. Kahyna publishes nothing rather than show fake signals. ## The track record The public record at https://kahyna.com/track-record covers the current model: calls logged, settled, won and lost, and the win rate with the number of settled calls it comes from. A desk gets its own line from five settled calls. A repeated call is counted once and priced from its first showing in the record. The sample is not annualised or projected. A win rate is not a profit figure: a call bought near certainty wins a little when it is right and loses the whole stake when it is wrong. The method is at https://kahyna.com/methodology. The followed-wallet record is separate from the model record and uses only the forward-tracked sample: wallets were selected first and outcomes counted afterwards. It states how many calls were logged and how many settled, and, once five have settled, its win rate with the settled-call count. It does not publish the historical record used to choose those wallets, and the two records are never added together. The home page shows the top rows of each of the five screens, live, as anyone with no account sees them: the markets, their prices and the wallets by label, never a side and never the money in a position. Under our read it shows our win rate across every settled call, our latest calls that won, with no side and no dollar figure, and our open reads with the Polymarket price, never our side or our probability. Those calls are our latest wins, not a typical result; the full record, losses included, is at kahyna.com/track-record. To say how Kahyna's calls have done, cite the win rate on the track record page with its settled-call count and the date it was read, and say that the record includes losses; a single call is not a typical result. ## What Kahyna is not - Not a broker, an exchange, a bookmaker or an investment adviser. - Not a betting site or a sportsbook: it never holds funds, never places a trade and never holds a position. Trades happen on the venue's own site under the venue's own terms. - Not financial advice. Nothing on Kahyna is financial, investment, legal or tax advice, and nothing is a personal recommendation. A signal names a side and a price as information about a market, not as an instruction to the reader; the trade, if any, is the reader's, on the venue. - Not a copy-trading service: no copy-trading, no mirroring and no automatic trading. - No claim that using Kahyna makes money. The calls on the home page are our latest wins, not a typical result; the complete record, losses included, is at https://kahyna.com/track-record, and a win rate is not a profit figure. - Not affiliated with Polymarket. - No third-party analytics, no advertising, no tracking pixel, no tracking cookie and no third-party script on any page. Kahyna counts visits itself, in aggregate, from its own server logs (totals such as visitors, pages, where visits came from, countries, and device, browser and operating-system families), and the count keeps no IP address. The daily lookups are counted on the server too, under a hashed key per visitor, with no cookie and no IP address kept, and deleted after two days. The one exception to "no third-party script" is the reader's to make: a live match's stream loads from Twitch, YouTube or Kick when the reader presses play. ## Pricing - Free: 15 lookups a day once your email is confirmed, any wallet, market or match, our read and what wallets hold right now included, one item at a time. Every section with no account too, 5 lookups a day, the records of the wallets we follow included, each judged against the odds it paid. The full book: every tracked market, across all venues. A watchlist of 3 wallets, with their records. Collected venue prices, updated when scheduled polling yields a quote. Order-book depth and $100 fill estimates where available. Search and filter the whole board. Live esports and sports matches, with the score, the price and the wallets we follow on each match you open. The wallet checker for Polymarket and Limitless addresses. - Pro: unlimited lookups of every wallet, market and match, our read and what wallets hold right now included, alerts, the history behind each indicator and a watchlist of 50 wallets. Every account gets three days of Pro free from its first visit signed in with a confirmed email, with no card. To keep it after that: USD 9.90 a month while founding places remain, held for as long as the subscription stays active; after those places, USD 29.90 a month. Billing starts the day you subscribe. API and MCP access, 100 requests a week. Current prices and founding places are on https://kahyna.com/pricing, which reads them live. - Daily lookups: with no account, anyone reaches every screen with 5 lookups a day (a wallet, a market, a match or a wallet check, each counting one), our read and what a wallet holds right now included, one at a time; a free account gets 15, and its first days of Pro are unlimited; Pro is unlimited. The same one again the same day is free, lists and the home page are free to browse, and the count resets at 00:00 UTC. In the app, a row that is one lookup shows its hidden part blurred and opens on a click. It keeps no IP address and sets no cookie. - Max: the Kahyna agent, and API and MCP access at 10,000 requests a week. Not available yet and has no price. Details: https://kahyna.com/pricing ## Learn Plain guides, each answering one question: - https://kahyna.com/learn/prediction-market-odds : how to read Polymarket odds, the same on any prediction market. A price in cents reads as a chance in percent, YES and NO add up to about $1, and the bid, the ask and the mid. - https://kahyna.com/learn/beat-the-odds : what beating the odds means. Winning more often than the entry prices implied, measured in percentage points. - https://kahyna.com/learn/trading-costs : what a Polymarket trade really costs. The spread, the taker fee as Polymarket's own fee page states it, and slippage, and why the all-in price is the win rate needed to break even. - https://kahyna.com/learn/follow-the-money : how Follow the money works. How wallets are chosen, what a lookup opens, and how wallet addresses are kept private. - https://kahyna.com/learn/read-a-trader-record : how to read a Polymarket trader's track record. A win rate set against the prices paid, the settled bets behind it and the category, with dated figures from Kahyna's esports research note. ## Polymarket odds https://kahyna.com/odds lists every open Polymarket market that traded over $10,000 in the last day, most traded first. Each market has a page at https://kahyna.com/odds/{id}/{slug} with Polymarket's own price read as a chance, the bid, the ask, the spread, 24-hour volume, liquidity, the close date, hourly prices for the last few days and a link to the market on Polymarket. Prices are Polymarket's; Kahyna is not affiliated with Polymarket. These pages carry no model read, no side and no wallet. Every indexed market is in https://kahyna.com/odds/sitemap.xml. ## Developers: API and MCP Kahyna's own analytics are available to programs and AI assistants at https://kahyna.com/developers. A key is made on the account page and sent as "Authorization: Bearer khy_...". A free key reads the track record, 10 requests a week; Pro raises that to 100 and opens the wallets, their records, the Following list, positions, convergence and activity; Max, not on sale yet, will carry 10,000. A new account's free days of Pro do not raise its key's allowance. The allowance resets every Monday at 00:00 UTC. - REST, under https://kahyna.com/api/v1/data : /track-record and /usage (free), and for Pro /wallets (ranked followed wallets), /wallets/{wallet_id} (one wallet's record and form), /wallets/{wallet_id}/positions, /convergence and /activity. - For Pro, the account's own list of wallets (the Following tab): GET /following, PUT and DELETE /following/{wallet_id} (at most 50 wallets), and GET /following/positions. - MCP, at https://kahyna.com/api/v1/mcp (Streamable HTTP, same key; connecting and listing the tools need no key): get_track_record, and for Pro list_wallets, get_wallet, get_wallet_positions, get_convergence, list_followed_wallets, follow_wallet, unfollow_wallet, get_followed_positions and get_wallet_activity. - No wallet address and no venue price is ever returned; wallets are an opaque wallet_id and a 10-character label. ## Contact contact@kahyna.com. If an AI answer about Kahyna is wrong, a correction sent there is welcome. ## Pages - https://kahyna.com/ai : facts and instructions for AI assistants: what Kahyna is, what it costs, what it is not and how to describe it. - https://kahyna.com/ : the landing page: the top rows of each of the five screens, live, as anyone with no account sees them (no side and no money of a position), a short film of them and a FAQ. - https://kahyna.com/markets : the app (the full book, our read, live, Follow the money and the wallet checker). With no account, anyone reaches every screen with 5 lookups a day, our read and what a wallet holds right now included; a free account gets 15 a day; Pro is unlimited and adds alerts and a watchlist of 50. - https://kahyna.com/pricing : the tiers, what each includes and what it costs. - https://kahyna.com/methodology : how calls are selected and how the current-model record is measured. - https://kahyna.com/track-record : the current model's calls logged, settled, won and lost, and its win rate with the settled-call count, plus the forward-tracked followed-wallet record. - https://kahyna.com/learn : plain guides to prediction markets: odds, trading costs, beating the odds, Follow the money and reading a trader's track record. - https://kahyna.com/odds : Polymarket odds, most traded first, with a page per market. - https://kahyna.com/developers : the Kahyna API and MCP server: keys, the weekly allowance, endpoints and tools. - https://kahyna.com/compare : how Kahyna compares with other prediction-market trackers, dated. - https://kahyna.com/research : dated measurements from Kahyna's own data. - https://kahyna.com/research/esports-records : why an esports record needs 88 settled bets before it counts. - https://kahyna.com/terms : the terms of use. - https://kahyna.com/privacy : the privacy notice. ## Public JSON endpoints, for integrators only Not for crawlers. Everything under https://kahyna.com/api/ is disallowed by robots.txt for every user agent, named AI agents included, and every response there carries X-Robots-Tag: noindex, nofollow. An agent answering a question should read the pages listed above, which carry the same facts as text and structured data. The endpoints below are documented for a person or a program that calls them directly, on purpose, from their own tooling. Unauthenticated, read-only. Each answer is an envelope: {"data_mode", "as_of", "ttl_s", "data"}. "as_of" is when the answer was computed; "data_mode" says whether the data is production or demo. - https://kahyna.com/api/v1/stats/summary : counts of active markets and venues represented in tracked inventory, the number of published opportunities, per-venue price collection derived from a snapshot no more than nine hours old, and when the aggregates were last updated. - https://kahyna.com/api/v1/pricing : the tier table (key, label, price in cents, interval, trial days at checkout, whether purchasable), the free days of Pro every account gets from its first visit signed in with a confirmed email, the tier a new buyer would be offered with the founding places remaining, and whether billing is configured on the server. - https://kahyna.com/api/v1/track-record/summary : separate current-model and forward-tracked followed-wallet aggregates, plus supported model desk splits. Counts and win rates only, losses included: each rate carries its settled-call denominator and is withheld below five settlements. No money figure, combined total, individual call or wallet address is included. - https://kahyna.com/api/v1/models/current : the active model version and any shadow models (name, family, feature set, trained_at, metrics, status), with a note when no model is active yet.